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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Geno Smith or Sam Darnold?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Darnold

Our call was start Darnold (51%): wrong by 9.5 DraftKings pts.

Smith 24.5 Projected 15.0
Darnold 15.0 Projected 15.3

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Jets QB #21

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active
QB Seahawks QB #19 Start

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 15.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 14.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 10th most to QBs.
  • Darnold: 13.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 29th most to QBs.
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 24.5 – 30
Wk 6 @ NE 13.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 11.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 15.0 – 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 13.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 10.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 14.3 100% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Darnold
Median DraftKings pts 15.0 15.3
Pass Yds 185.8 222.7
Pass TD 1.3 1.3
INT 0.6 0.8
Rush Yds 10.6 10.9
Rush TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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