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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Geno Smith or Patrick Mahomes?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Mahomes

Our call was start Smith (50%): right by 17.5 DraftKings pts.

Smith 24.5 Projected 15.0
Mahomes 7.0 Projected 15.5

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Jets QB #21 Start

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #18

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 15.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 14.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 10th most to QBs.
  • Mahomes: 13.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 24.5 – 30
Wk 6 @ NE 13.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 11.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 7.0 – 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 11.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 16.9 100% 24

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Mahomes
Median DraftKings pts 15.0 15.5
Pass Yds 185.8 187.1
Pass TD 1.3 1.0
INT 0.6 0.5
Rush Yds 10.6 24.8
Rush TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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