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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Rodgers

Our call was start Smith (52%): right by 11.4 DraftKings pts.

Rodgers 13.1 Projected 15.0
Smith 24.5 Projected 15.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Steelers QB #23

Aaron Rodgers

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active
QB Jets QB #21 Start

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Rodgers: 19.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, NO allows the 17th most to QBs.
  • Smith: 14.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 10th most to QBs.
Rodgers Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ NO 13.1 – 30
Wk 6 @ TB 17.0 100% 49
Wk 5 vs IND 22.0 97% 31
Wk 4 @ CLE 24.0 100% 40
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 24.5 – 30
Wk 6 @ NE 13.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 11.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Rodgers Smith
Median DraftKings pts 15.0 15.0
Pass Yds 181.8 185.8
Pass TD 1.5 1.3
INT 0.5 0.6
Rush Yds 8.4 10.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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