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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Geno Smith or Sam Darnold?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Darnold

Our call was start Smith (51%): right by 9.5 Half PPR pts.

Smith 23.5 Projected 13.9
Darnold 14.0 Projected 13.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Jets QB #20 Start

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 13.9
Status Active
QB Seahawks QB #23

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 13.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 7th most to QBs.
  • Darnold: 11.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 23.5 100% 30
Wk 6 @ NE 12.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 10.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 14.0 100% 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 11.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 8.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 13.3 100% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Darnold
Median Half PPR pts 13.9 13.8
Pass Yds 185.8 222.7
Pass TD 1.3 1.3
INT 0.6 0.8
Rush Yds 10.6 10.9
Rush TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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