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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Deshaun Watson or Malik Willis?

Final · Week 7

Willis outscored Watson

Our call was start Watson (53%): wrong by 3.8 DraftKings pts.

Watson 22.2 Projected 16.4
Willis 26.0 Projected 15.2

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Browns QB #16 Start

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (DraftKings) 16.4
Status Active
QB Dolphins QB #20

Malik Willis

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 15.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 14.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Willis: 15.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, NYJ allows the 20th most to QBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 22.2 100% 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 13.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 14.9 100% 33
Willis Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ NYJ 26.0 100% 21
Wk 5 vs CIN 21.9 100% 27
Wk 4 @ MIN 3.5 100% 17
Wk 3 vs KC 12.0 100% 36

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Willis
Median DraftKings pts 16.4 15.2
Pass Yds 153.5 150.6
Pass TD 1.0 0.7
INT 0.4 0.6
Rush Yds 47.0 42.3
Rush TD 0.4 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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