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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dillon Gabriel or Deshaun Watson?

The verdict

Start Deshaun Watson

Wins 95% of simulated matchups against Gabriel.

Gabriel's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Watson already played: 18.2 Standard pts (projected 15.5).

Gabriel 5% 95% Watson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Browns QB #66

Dillon Gabriel

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Out Back Official designation · Fri · 2% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 14m ago
QB Browns QB #15 Start

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 15.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Gabriel: TEN allows the 21st most to QBs.
  • Watson: 13.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 21st most to QBs.
Gabriel Opp Pts Snaps Att
No games this season
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 18.2 100% 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 12.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 12.9 100% 33

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Gabriel Watson
Median Standard pts 0.0 15.5
Pass Yds 0.1 153.5
Pass TD 0.0 1.0
INT 0.0 0.4
Rush Yds 0.0 47.0
Rush TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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