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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start DK Metcalf or George Pickens?

Close call

Start DK Metcalf

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Metcalf already played: 6.6 Half PPR pts (projected 10.7).

Week 6: Metcalf outscored Pickens 14.8 to 10.3. Our call, start Pickens (66%), was wrong.

Metcalf 50% 50% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Steelers WR #12 Start

DK Metcalf

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Metcalf: 9.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 95% of snaps, 5.5 touches, NO allows the 21st most to WRs.
  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Metcalf Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 6.6 – 2
Wk 6 @ TB 14.8 95% 11
Wk 5 vs IND 3.8 92% 4
Wk 4 @ CLE 14.0 97% 5
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Metcalf Pickens
Median Half PPR pts 10.7 10.7
Rec 5.4 5.0
Rec Yds 70.8 74.2
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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