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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Bucky Irving or George Pickens?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Irving.

Irving already played: 23.5 Half PPR pts (projected 10.6).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Irving 10.3 to 5.9. Our call, start Pickens (52%), was right.

Irving 49% 51% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Buccaneers RB #17

Bucky Irving

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Half PPR) 10.6
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Irving: 16.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 21.3 touches, CAR allows the 2nd most to RBs.
  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Irving Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 23.5 59% 25
Wk 6 vs PIT 5.9 85% 21
Wk 5 @ DAL 30.5 54% 23
Wk 4 vs GB 6.1 59% 16
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Irving Pickens
Median Half PPR pts 10.6 10.7
Rush Yds 60.8 0.5
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 2.3 5.0
Rec Yds 15.1 74.2
Rec TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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