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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Bucky Irving or George Pickens?

Close call

Start Bucky Irving

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Irving already played: 23.0 Standard pts (projected 9.3).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Irving 7.3 to 4.9. Our call, start Irving (53%), was wrong.

Irving 53% 47% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Irving has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Buccaneers RB #17 Start

Bucky Irving

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 9.3
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #11

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Irving: 15.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 21.3 touches, CAR allows the 2nd most to RBs.
  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Irving Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 23.0 59% 25
Wk 6 vs PIT 4.9 85% 21
Wk 5 @ DAL 29.5 54% 23
Wk 4 vs GB 6.1 59% 16
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Irving Pickens
Median Standard pts 9.3 8.4
Rush Yds 60.8 0.5
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 2.3 5.1
Rec Yds 15.1 76.0
Rec TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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