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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Kittle or George Pickens?

Close call

Start George Kittle

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Kittle already played: 6.8 Standard pts (projected 8.5).

Week 6: Kittle outscored Pickens 12.9 to 7.3. Our call, start Kittle (54%), was right.

Kittle 52% 48% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Kittle has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE 49ers TE #2 Start

George Kittle

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 8.5
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kittle: 8.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 91% of snaps, 5.5 touches, ATL allows the 10th most to TEs.
  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Kittle Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 6.8 91% 8
Wk 6 vs WAS 12.9 89% 5
Wk 5 @ SEA 2.4 92% 5
Wk 4 vs DEN 13.0 91% 4
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kittle Pickens
Median Standard pts 8.5 8.2
Rec 4.8 5.0
Rec Yds 63.2 74.2
Rec TD 0.6 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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