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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Pickens or Nico Collins?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Collins.

Collins already played: 0.6 Standard pts (projected 7.8).

Week 6: Collins outscored Pickens 7.9 to 7.3. Our call, start Pickens (54%), was wrong.

Pickens 51% 49% Collins

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Collins has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.2
Status Active
WR Texans WR #15

Nico Collins

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 7.8
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 5m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Collins: 9.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 70% of snaps, 4.5 touches, NYG allows the 14th most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7
Collins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 0.6 67% 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 7.9 73% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 5.6 71% 5
Wk 4 vs DAL 23.8 69% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Collins
Median Standard pts 8.2 7.8
Rec 5.0 4.0
Rec Yds 74.2 63.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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