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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Pickens or Nico Collins?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Collins.

Collins already played: 0.6 Standard pts (projected 7.8).

Week 6: Collins outscored Pickens 7.9 to 7.3. Our call, start Pickens (54%), was wrong.

Pickens 51% 49% Collins

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the safer floor

By how much, and who has the upside?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #11 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
WR Texans WR #15

Nico Collins

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 7.8
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 16m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Collins: 9.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 70% of snaps, 4.5 touches, NYG allows the 14th most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7
Collins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 0.6 67% 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 7.9 73% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 5.6 71% 5
Wk 4 vs DAL 23.8 69% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Collins
Median Standard pts 8.4 7.8
Rec 5.1 4.0
Rec Yds 76.0 63.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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