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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start George Pickens or Nico Collins?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Collins.

Collins already played: 1.6 Half PPR pts (projected 9.8).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Collins 10.3 to 9.4. Our call, start Pickens (54%), was right.

Pickens 53% 47% Collins

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #9 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 11.1
Status Active
WR Texans WR #17

Nico Collins

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 9.8
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 21m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Collins: 11.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 70% of snaps, 4.5 touches, NYG allows the 16th most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7
Collins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 1.6 67% 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 9.4 73% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 8.1 71% 5
Wk 4 vs DAL 27.3 69% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Collins
Median Half PPR pts 11.1 9.8
Rec 5.1 4.0
Rec Yds 76.0 63.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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