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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start George Pickens or Matthew Golden?

Close call

Start Matthew Golden

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Golden already played: 6.9 Half PPR pts (projected 11.8).

Week 6: Golden outscored Pickens 19.4 to 10.3. Our call, start Pickens (53%), was wrong.

Pickens 47% 53% Golden

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Golden has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active
WR Packers WR #7 Start

Matthew Golden

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 11.8
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 1m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Golden: 13.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 84% of snaps, 5.5 touches, DET allows the 3rd most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7
Golden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ DET 6.9 85% 6
Wk 6 vs DAL 19.4 84% 6
Wk 5 vs CHI 17.3 77% 6
Wk 4 @ TB 10.2 88% 4

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Golden
Median Half PPR pts 10.7 11.8
Rec 5.0 4.7
Rec Yds 74.2 76.8
Rec TD 0.3 0.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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