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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Pickens or Tetairoa McMillan?

Close call

Start Tetairoa McMillan

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

McMillan already played: 4.0 Standard pts (projected 8.6).

Week 6: McMillan outscored Pickens 8.6 to 7.3. Our call, start Pickens (50%), was wrong.

Pickens 50% 50% McMillan

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #11

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
WR Panthers WR #10 Start

Tetairoa McMillan

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 8.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • McMillan: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 82% of snaps, 6.5 touches, TB allows the 23rd most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7
McMillan Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 4.0 68% 4
Wk 6 @ PHI 8.6 76% 6
Wk 4 vs DET 31.2 89% 14
Wk 3 @ CLE 1.7 95% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens McMillan
Median Standard pts 8.4 8.6
Rec 5.1 5.7
Rec Yds 76.0 83.7
Rec TD 0.3 0.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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