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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Drew Allar or Kenny Pickett?

The verdict

Start Kenny Pickett

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Allar.

Allar's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Pickett already played: 3.4 Standard pts (projected 0.2).

Allar 44% 56% Pickett

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Steelers QB #36

Drew Allar

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active
QB Panthers QB #34 Start

Kenny Pickett

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Allar: NO allows the 14th most to QBs.
  • Pickett: 1.8 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 13% of snaps, TB allows the 27th most to QBs.
Allar Opp Pts Snaps Att
No games this season
Pickett Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs TB 3.4 23% 4
Wk 2 @ ATL -0.4 6% 0
Wk 1 vs CHI 2.4 10% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Allar Pickett
Median Standard pts 0.2 0.2
Pass Yds 24.1 43.8
Pass TD 0.1 0.3
INT 0.1 0.1
Rush Yds 2.7 3.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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