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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Kenny Pickett or Tyrod Taylor?

Close call

Start Tyrod Taylor

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Pickett.

Pickett already played: 3.4 Standard pts (projected 0.2).

Taylor's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Pickett 46% 54% Taylor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Panthers QB #34

Kenny Pickett

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active
QB Packers QB #32 Start

Tyrod Taylor

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Pickett: 1.8 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 13% of snaps, TB allows the 27th most to QBs.
  • Taylor: -0.2 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 3% of snaps, DET allows the 1st most to QBs.
Pickett Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs TB 3.4 23% 4
Wk 2 @ ATL -0.4 6% 0
Wk 1 vs CHI 2.4 10% 1
Taylor Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs CHI -0.2 3% 0

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickett Taylor
Median Standard pts 0.2 0.3
Pass Yds 43.8 53.0
Pass TD 0.3 0.4
INT 0.1 0.2
Rush Yds 3.2 6.5
Rush TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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