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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Drew Lock or Sam Darnold?

The verdict

Start Sam Darnold

Wins 95% of simulated matchups against Lock.

Lock's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Darnold already played: 14.0 PPR pts (projected 13.8).

Lock 5% 95% Darnold

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Seahawks QB #72

Drew Lock

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (PPR) 0.0
Status Q Elbow Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 5m ago
QB Seahawks QB #23 Start

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (PPR) 13.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lock: 17.1 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 95% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
  • Darnold: 11.7 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
Lock Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 @ ARI 21.4 100% 26
Wk 1 vs NE 12.8 90% 22
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 14.0 – 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 11.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 8.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 13.3 100% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lock Darnold
Median PPR pts 0.0 13.8
Pass Yds 0.1 222.7
Pass TD 0.0 1.3
INT 0.0 0.8
Rush Yds 0.0 10.9
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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