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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Drew Lock or Sam Darnold?

The verdict

Start Sam Darnold

Wins 96% of simulated matchups against Lock.

Lock's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Darnold already played: 15.0 DraftKings pts (projected 15.3).

Lock 4% 96% Darnold

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

QB Seahawks QB #72

Drew Lock

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Q Elbow Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked just now
QB Seahawks QB #19 Start

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 15.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lock: 17.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 95% of snaps, KC allows the 29th most to QBs.
  • Darnold: 13.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 29th most to QBs.
Lock Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 @ ARI 21.4 100% 26
Wk 1 vs NE 12.8 90% 22
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 15.0 100% 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 13.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 10.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 14.3 100% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lock Darnold
Median DraftKings pts 0.0 15.3
Pass Yds 0.1 222.7
Pass TD 0.0 1.3
INT 0.0 0.8
Rush Yds 0.0 10.9
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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