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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Drew Sample or Justin Watson?

Final · Week 7

Sample outscored Watson

Our call was start Watson (58%): wrong by 7.7 Standard pts.

Sample 8.4 Projected 0.3
Watson 0.7 Projected 0.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Bengals TE #51

Drew Sample

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active
WR Chiefs WR #99 Start

Justin Watson

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 0.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Sample: 2.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, BAL allows the 16th most to TEs.
  • Watson: 0.3 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 2% of snaps, 0.5 touches, SEA allows the 32nd most to WRs.
Sample Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 8.4 – 2
Wk 5 @ MIA 0.5 52% 1
Wk 4 vs JAX 0.0 26% –
Wk 3 @ PIT 0.0 51% 1
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 0.7 – 1
Wk 6 vs LAC 0.0 2% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Sample Watson
Median Standard pts 0.3 0.4
Rec 1.2 1.0
Rec Yds 8.5 13.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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