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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Germie Bernard or Makai Lemon?

The verdict

Start Germie Bernard

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Lemon.

Bernard already played: 2.7 Standard pts (projected 5.0).

Week 6: Bernard outscored Lemon 14.7 to 1.9. Our call, start Bernard (73%), was right.

Bernard 57% 43% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Steelers WR #32 Start

Germie Bernard

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 5.0
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #40

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bernard: 6.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 5.8 touches, NO allows the 21st most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 2.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 4th most to WRs.
Bernard Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 2.7 91% 3
Wk 6 @ TB 14.7 94% 11
Wk 5 vs IND 8.4 92% 7
Wk 4 @ CLE 1.1 40% 2
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 1.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 4.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 2.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 2.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Bernard Lemon
Median Standard pts 5.0 4.2
Rec 4.5 5.0
Rec Yds 43.8 42.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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