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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Jordan Watkins?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Watkins.

Watkins already played: 7.1 FanDuel pts (projected 2.6).

Week 6: Watkins outscored Ferguson 2.7 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (65%), was wrong.

Ferguson 57% 43% Watkins

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 3.6
Status Active
WR 49ers WR #71

Jordan Watkins

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 2.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Watkins: 2.5 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 57% of snaps, 1.0 touches, ATL allows the 12th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Watkins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 7.1 76% 3
Wk 6 vs WAS 2.7 76% 1
Wk 5 @ SEA 0.0 37% –
Wk 4 vs DEN 0.0 38% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Watkins
Median FanDuel pts 3.6 2.6
Rec 2.7 1.4
Rec Yds 22.4 23.9
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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