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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jaylin Noel or KC Concepcion?

Final · Week 7

Concepcion outscored Noel

Our call was start Noel (56%): wrong by 18.5 Half PPR pts.

Noel 0.7 Projected 5.1
Concepcion 19.2 Projected 4.5

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Texans WR #44 Start

Jaylin Noel

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 5.1
Status Active
WR Browns WR #48

KC Concepcion

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Half PPR) 4.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Noel: 10.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 52% of snaps, 4.0 touches, NYG allows the 16th most to WRs.
  • Concepcion: 8.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 5.8 touches, TEN allows the 10th most to WRs.
Noel Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 0.7 – 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 18.7 49% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 12.7 45% 6
Wk 4 vs DAL 10.4 62% 4
Concepcion Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ TEN 19.2 – 11
Wk 6 vs BAL 5.9 81% 6
Wk 5 @ NYJ 1.0 16% 1
Wk 4 vs PIT 8.9 92% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Noel Concepcion
Median Half PPR pts 5.1 4.5
Rec 1.9 3.3
Rec Yds 30.1 29.2
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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