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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jaylin Noel or KC Concepcion?

Final · Week 7

Concepcion outscored Noel

Our call was start Noel (59%): wrong by 15.5 Standard pts.

Noel -0.3 Projected 3.8
Concepcion 15.2 Projected 2.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Texans WR #42 Start

Jaylin Noel

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 3.8
Status Active
WR Browns WR #52

KC Concepcion

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 2.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Noel: 8.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 52% of snaps, 4.0 touches, NYG allows the 14th most to WRs.
  • Concepcion: 6.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 5.8 touches, TEN allows the 11th most to WRs.
Noel Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG -0.3 – 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 16.7 49% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 10.2 45% 6
Wk 4 vs DAL 8.9 62% 4
Concepcion Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ TEN 15.2 – 11
Wk 6 vs BAL 3.9 81% 6
Wk 5 @ NYJ 0.5 16% 1
Wk 4 vs PIT 6.4 92% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Noel Concepcion
Median Standard pts 3.8 2.8
Rec 1.9 3.3
Rec Yds 30.1 29.2
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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