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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Jaylin Noel or Makai Lemon?

The verdict

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Noel.

Noel already played: 1.7 PPR pts (projected 6.3).

Week 6: Noel outscored Lemon 20.7 to 4.9. Our call, start Lemon (50%), was wrong.

Noel 43% 57% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Texans WR #44

Jaylin Noel

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (PPR) 6.3
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #31 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 9.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Noel: 12.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 47% of snaps, 4.0 touches, NYG allows the 15th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 6.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Noel Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 1.7 31% 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 20.7 49% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 15.2 45% 6
Wk 4 vs DAL 11.9 62% 4
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 4.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 9.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 5.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 5.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Noel Lemon
Median PPR pts 6.3 9.2
Rec 1.9 5.0
Rec Yds 30.1 42.1
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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