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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jaylin Noel or Makai Lemon?

Close call

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Noel.

Noel already played: 0.7 Half PPR pts (projected 5.1).

Week 6: Noel outscored Lemon 18.7 to 3.4. Our call, start Noel (52%), was right.

Noel 46% 54% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Noel has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Texans WR #44

Jaylin Noel

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 5.1
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #32 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 7.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Noel: 10.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 47% of snaps, 4.0 touches, NYG allows the 16th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Noel Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 0.7 31% 2
Wk 6 @ JAX 18.7 49% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 12.7 45% 6
Wk 4 vs DAL 10.4 62% 4
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 3.4 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 4.2 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 4.4 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Noel Lemon
Median Half PPR pts 5.1 7.0
Rec 1.9 5.1
Rec Yds 30.1 42.9
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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