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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Justin Fields or Patrick Mahomes?

The verdict

Start Patrick Mahomes

Wins 78% of simulated matchups against Fields.

Fields's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Mahomes already played: 6.0 Half PPR pts (projected 14.4).

Fields 22% 78% Mahomes

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Chiefs QB #31

Justin Fields

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 0.3
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #18 Start

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 14.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Fields: 0.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 1% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
  • Mahomes: 12.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Fields Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 1 vs DEN 0.0 1% –
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 – 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Fields Mahomes
Median Half PPR pts 0.3 14.4
Pass Yds 38.1 187.1
Pass TD 0.2 1.0
INT 0.1 0.5
Rush Yds 11.6 24.8
Rush TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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