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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Justin Joly or Velus Jones Jr.?

Close call

Start Velus Jones Jr.

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Jones already played: 0.8 Half PPR pts (projected 0.6).

Joly 47% 53% Jones

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

TE Dolphins TE #55

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 0.3
Status Active
RB Seahawks RB #69 Start

Velus Jones Jr.

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 0.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
  • Jones: 0.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 9% of snaps, 2.5 touches, KC allows the 25th most to RBs.
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season
Jones Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs KC 0.8 13% 5
Wk 6 @ DEN 2.4 11% 5
Wk 5 vs SF 0.0 – –
Wk 4 vs LAC 0.0 3% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Joly Jones
Median Half PPR pts 0.3 0.6
Rec 0.7 0.3
Rec Yds 6.6 3.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.0
Rush Yds 0.2 7.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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