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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Justin Joly or Velus Jones Jr.?

The verdict

Start Velus Jones Jr.

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Jones already played: 0.8 Standard pts (projected 0.5).

Joly 44% 56% Jones

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Dolphins TE #53

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active
RB Seahawks RB #67 Start

Velus Jones Jr.

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
  • Jones: 0.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 9% of snaps, 2.5 touches, KC allows the 24th most to RBs.
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season
Jones Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs KC 0.8 13% 5
Wk 6 @ DEN 1.9 11% 5
Wk 5 vs SF 0.0 – –
Wk 4 vs LAC 0.0 3% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Joly Jones
Median Standard pts 0.1 0.5
Rec 0.7 0.3
Rec Yds 6.6 3.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.0
Rush Yds 0.2 7.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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