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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Juwan Johnson or Treyton Welch?

The verdict

Start Juwan Johnson

Wins 86% of simulated matchups against Welch.

Johnson already played: 0.7 Standard pts (projected 3.7).

Welch's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Johnson and Welch tied at 0.0. Our call, start Johnson (84%), was a push.

Johnson 86% 14% Welch

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Saints TE #14 Start

Juwan Johnson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 3.7
Status Active
TE Saints TE #99

Treyton Welch

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Johnson: 2.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PIT allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Welch: 0.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 8% of snaps, 0.0 touches, PIT allows the 22nd most to TEs.
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 0.7 56% 1
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 58% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 1.6 64% 4
Wk 4 vs ATL 5.9 78% 6
Welch Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 4% –
Wk 4 vs ATL 0.0 9% –
Wk 2 @ BAL 0.0 7% –
Wk 1 @ DET 0.0 11% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Johnson Welch
Median Standard pts 3.7 0.0
Rec 3.8 0.0
Rec Yds 39.2 0.0
Rec TD 0.2 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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