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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Juwan Johnson or Treyton Welch?

The verdict

Start Juwan Johnson

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Welch.

Johnson already played: 1.7 DraftKings pts (projected 7.5).

Welch's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Johnson and Welch tied at 0.0. Our call, start Johnson (88%), was a push.

Johnson 90% 10% Welch

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

TE Saints TE #14 Start

Juwan Johnson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 7.5
Status Active
TE Saints TE #99

Treyton Welch

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Johnson: 4.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to TEs.
  • Welch: 0.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 8% of snaps, 0.0 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to TEs.
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 1.7 56% 1
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 58% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 5.6 64% 4
Wk 4 vs ATL 11.9 78% 6
Welch Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 4% –
Wk 4 vs ATL 0.0 9% –
Wk 2 @ BAL 0.0 7% –
Wk 1 @ DET 0.0 11% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Johnson Welch
Median DraftKings pts 7.5 0.0
Rec 3.8 0.0
Rec Yds 39.2 0.0
Rec TD 0.2 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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