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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Khalil Herbert or Kyle Williams?

Final · Week 7

Herbert outscored Williams

Our call was start Williams (60%): wrong by 3.3 Half PPR pts.

Herbert 3.3 Projected 1.4
Williams 0.0 Projected 1.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Falcons RB #57

Khalil Herbert

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 1.4
Status Active
WR Patriots WR #85 Start

Kyle Williams

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 1.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Herbert: 3.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 16% of snaps, 3.0 touches, SF allows the 16th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 4.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 34% of snaps, 1.0 touches, CHI allows the 19th most to WRs.
Herbert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 3.3 16% 3
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 0.0 39% –
Wk 6 vs NYJ 1.7 37% 1
Wk 5 vs LV 16.6 36% 3
Wk 4 @ BUF 0.0 25% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Herbert Williams
Median Half PPR pts 1.4 1.7
Rush Yds 16.6 0.2
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.8 1.1
Rec Yds 5.3 20.2
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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