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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Khalil Herbert or Tim Patrick?

Close call

Start Tim Patrick

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Herbert.

Herbert already played: 3.3 Half PPR pts (projected 1.4).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Herbert 47% 53% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Falcons RB #57

Khalil Herbert

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 1.4
Status Active
WR Jets WR #93 Start

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 1.2
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Herbert: 3.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 3.0 touches, SF allows the 16th most to RBs.
  • Patrick: 2.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Herbert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 3.3 – 3
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.0 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 3.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Herbert Patrick
Median Half PPR pts 1.4 1.2
Rush Yds 16.6 0.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.8 1.0
Rec Yds 5.3 11.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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