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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Khalil Herbert or Tim Patrick?

Close call

Start Tim Patrick

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Herbert.

Herbert already played: 2.8 Standard pts (projected 1.2).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Herbert 50% 50% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

RB Falcons RB #54

Khalil Herbert

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 1.2
Status Active
WR Jets WR #95 Start

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Herbert: 2.8 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 3.0 touches, SF allows the 19th most to RBs.
  • Patrick: 2.0 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Herbert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 2.8 – 3
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 1.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Herbert Patrick
Median Standard pts 1.2 0.5
Rush Yds 16.6 0.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.8 1.0
Rec Yds 5.3 11.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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