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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Kyle Pitts or Makai Lemon?

The verdict

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Pitts.

Pitts already played: 13.2 DraftKings pts (projected 7.8).

Week 6: Pitts outscored Lemon 23.0 to 4.9. Our call, start Pitts (60%), was right.

Pitts 45% 55% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Falcons TE #13

Kyle Pitts

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 7.8
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #30 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 9.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pitts: 14.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 4.5 touches, SF allows the 21st most to TEs.
  • Lemon: 6.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 8th most to WRs.
Pitts Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 13.2 56% 5
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.0 78% 5
Wk 5 vs BAL 15.2 67% 5
Wk 4 @ NO 7.7 51% 3
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 4.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 9.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 5.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 5.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pitts Lemon
Median DraftKings pts 7.8 9.5
Rec 3.3 5.1
Rec Yds 36.8 42.9
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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