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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Kyle Pitts or Makai Lemon?

Close call

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pitts.

Pitts already played: 10.7 Half PPR pts (projected 5.9).

Week 6: Pitts outscored Lemon 20.5 to 3.4. Our call, start Pitts (61%), was right.

Pitts 47% 53% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pitts has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Falcons TE #13

Kyle Pitts

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 5.9
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #32 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 7.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pitts: 12.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 4.5 touches, SF allows the 24th most to TEs.
  • Lemon: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Pitts Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 10.7 56% 5
Wk 6 vs CHI 20.5 78% 5
Wk 5 vs BAL 12.7 67% 5
Wk 4 @ NO 6.2 51% 3
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 3.4 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 4.2 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 4.4 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pitts Lemon
Median Half PPR pts 5.9 7.0
Rec 3.3 5.1
Rec Yds 36.8 42.9
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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