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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Makai Lemon or Pat Freiermuth?

The verdict

Start Pat Freiermuth

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Lemon.

Freiermuth already played: 2.0 Standard pts (projected 4.1).

Week 6: Lemon outscored Freiermuth 1.9 to 1.1. Our call, start Freiermuth (52%), was wrong.

Lemon 45% 55% Freiermuth

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Eagles WR #40

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.2
Status Active
TE Steelers TE #12 Start

Pat Freiermuth

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 4.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lemon: 2.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 4th most to WRs.
  • Freiermuth: 6.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 67% of snaps, 3.3 touches, NO allows the 7th most to TEs.
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 1.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 4.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 2.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 2.9 70% 3
Freiermuth Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 2.0 53% 2
Wk 6 @ TB 1.1 72% 2
Wk 5 vs IND 16.5 68% 6
Wk 4 @ CLE 7.7 75% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lemon Freiermuth
Median Standard pts 4.2 4.1
Rec 5.0 3.0
Rec Yds 42.1 32.4
Rec TD 0.2 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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