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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Patrick Mahomes or Justin Fields?

The verdict

Start Patrick Mahomes

Wins 78% of simulated matchups against Fields.

Mahomes already played: 6.0 Standard pts (projected 14.4).

Fields's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Mahomes 78% 22% Fields

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Chiefs QB #18 Start

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 14.4
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #31

Justin Fields

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mahomes: 12.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
  • Fields: 0.0 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 1% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 – 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24
Fields Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 1 vs DEN 0.0 1% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mahomes Fields
Median Standard pts 14.4 0.3
Pass Yds 187.1 38.1
Pass TD 1.0 0.2
INT 0.5 0.1
Rush Yds 24.8 11.6
Rush TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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