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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Patrick Mahomes or Sam Darnold?

Final · Week 7

Darnold outscored Mahomes

Our call was start Mahomes (51%): wrong by 8.0 Half PPR pts.

Mahomes 6.0 Projected 14.4
Darnold 14.0 Projected 13.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Chiefs QB #18 Start

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 14.4
Status Active
QB Seahawks QB #23

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 13.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mahomes: 12.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
  • Darnold: 11.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 100% 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 14.0 100% 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 11.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 8.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 13.3 100% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mahomes Darnold
Median Half PPR pts 14.4 13.8
Pass Yds 187.1 222.7
Pass TD 1.0 1.3
INT 0.5 0.8
Rush Yds 24.8 10.9
Rush TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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