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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Patrick Mahomes or Tanner McKee?

The verdict

Start Patrick Mahomes

Wins 60% of simulated matchups against McKee.

Mahomes already played: 6.0 Half PPR pts (projected 14.4).

Week 6: McKee outscored Mahomes 12.6 to 10.5. Our call, start Mahomes (59%), was wrong.

Mahomes 60% 40% McKee

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
QB Chiefs QB #18 Start

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 14.4
Status Active
QB Eagles QB #24

Tanner McKee

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 11.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mahomes: 12.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
  • McKee: 12.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 100% of snaps, DAL allows the 5th most to QBs.
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 100% 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24
McKee Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 6 vs CAR 12.6 100% 45

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mahomes McKee
Median Half PPR pts 14.4 11.0
Pass Yds 187.1 159.3
Pass TD 1.0 1.0
INT 0.5 0.3
Rush Yds 24.8 10.4
Rush TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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