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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Pierre Strong or Rico Dowdle?

Close call

Start Rico Dowdle

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Dowdle already played: 14.6 PPR pts (projected 4.5).

Week 6: Strong outscored Dowdle 11.7 to 7.9. Our call, start Dowdle (55%), was wrong.

Strong 48% 52% Dowdle

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Packers RB #39

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (PPR) 4.6
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #40 Start

Rico Dowdle

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (PPR) 4.5
Status Q Knee Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 14m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Strong: 8.3 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Dowdle: 8.3 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 11.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 11.7 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 4.8 41% 8
Dowdle Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 14.6 – 15
Wk 6 @ TB 7.9 27% 10
Wk 2 @ NE 6.4 26% 9
Wk 1 vs ATL 4.1 58% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Strong Dowdle
Median PPR pts 4.6 4.5
Rush Yds 12.8 20.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 1.6 1.5
Rec Yds 12.6 10.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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