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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Pierre Strong or Rico Dowdle?

Close call

Start Rico Dowdle

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Dowdle already played: 11.6 FanDuel pts (projected 3.7).

Week 6: Strong outscored Dowdle 9.2 to 6.4. Our call, start Dowdle (56%), was wrong.

Strong 47% 53% Dowdle

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

RB Packers RB #41

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (FanDuel) 3.7
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #40 Start

Rico Dowdle

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (FanDuel) 3.7
Status Q Knee Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 15m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Strong: 6.3 FanDuel pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 22nd most to RBs.
  • Dowdle: 6.6 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 11.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 9.2 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 3.3 41% 8
Dowdle Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 11.6 – 15
Wk 6 @ TB 6.4 27% 10
Wk 2 @ NE 5.4 26% 9
Wk 1 vs ATL 3.1 58% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Strong Dowdle
Median FanDuel pts 3.7 3.7
Rush Yds 12.8 20.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 1.6 1.5
Rec Yds 12.6 10.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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