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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Rico Dowdle?

Close call

Start Rico Dowdle

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Dowdle already played: 11.6 FanDuel pts (projected 3.7).

Week 6: Dowdle outscored Ferguson 6.4 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (55%), was wrong.

Ferguson 48% 52% Dowdle

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Dowdle has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 3.6
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #40 Start

Rico Dowdle

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (FanDuel) 3.7
Status Q Knee Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 6m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Dowdle: 6.6 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 39% of snaps, 11.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Dowdle Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 11.6 44% 15
Wk 6 @ TB 6.4 27% 10
Wk 2 @ NE 5.4 26% 9
Wk 1 vs ATL 3.1 58% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Dowdle
Median FanDuel pts 3.6 3.7
Rec 2.8 1.5
Rec Yds 22.3 10.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.1
Rush Yds 0.0 20.0
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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