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Week 7 · PPR start/sit
Start Jake Ferguson or Rico Dowdle?
Close call
Start Jake Ferguson
Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Dowdle.
Dowdle already played: 14.6 PPR pts (projected 4.5).
Week 6: Dowdle outscored Ferguson 7.9 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (57%), was wrong.
Ferguson 51% 49% Dowdle
Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?
Free tiebreaker
Dowdle has the higher ceiling
By how much, and who’s safer?
Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.
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Median (PPR) 5.1
Status Active
Median (PPR) 4.5
Status Q Knee Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 16m ago
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Ferguson: 5.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
- Dowdle: 8.3 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 39% of snaps, 11.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
| Ferguson | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ GB | 3.3 | 54% | 2 |
| Wk 5 | vs TB | 4.9 | 83% | 3 |
| Wk 4 | @ HOU | 4.1 | 71% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | vs BAL | 9.3 | 69% | 3 |
| Dowdle | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | @ NO | 14.6 | 44% | 15 |
| Wk 6 | @ TB | 7.9 | 27% | 10 |
| Wk 2 | @ NE | 6.4 | 26% | 9 |
| Wk 1 | vs ATL | 4.1 | 58% | 10 |
Week 7
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Ferguson | Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Median PPR pts | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Rec | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Rec Yds | 22.3 | 10.8 |
| Rec TD | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Rush Yds | 0.0 | 20.0 |
| Rush TD | 0.0 | 0.1 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust