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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Rico Dowdle?

The verdict

Start Rico Dowdle

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Dowdle already played: 8.6 Standard pts (projected 2.8).

Week 6: Dowdle outscored Ferguson 4.9 to 1.3. Our call, start Ferguson (51%), was wrong.

Ferguson 45% 55% Dowdle

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #41 Start

Rico Dowdle

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 2.8
Status Q Knee Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 17m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Dowdle: 5.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 39% of snaps, 11.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Dowdle Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 8.6 44% 15
Wk 6 @ TB 4.9 27% 10
Wk 2 @ NE 4.4 26% 9
Wk 1 vs ATL 2.1 58% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Dowdle
Median Standard pts 2.1 2.8
Rec 2.8 1.5
Rec Yds 22.3 10.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.1
Rush Yds 0.0 20.0
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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