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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Pierre Strong or Tez Johnson?

Close call

Start Tez Johnson

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Johnson already played: 12.7 PPR pts (projected 4.3).

Week 6: Strong outscored Johnson 11.7 to 2.7. Our call, start Strong (56%), was right.

Strong 50% 50% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Packers RB #39

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (PPR) 4.6
Status Active
WR Buccaneers WR #60 Start

Tez Johnson

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (PPR) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Strong: 8.3 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Johnson: 6.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CAR allows the 26th most to WRs.
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 11.7 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 4.8 41% 8
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 12.7 – 3
Wk 6 vs PIT 2.7 34% 2
Wk 5 @ DAL 7.4 39% 1
Wk 4 vs GB 4.7 56% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Strong Johnson
Median PPR pts 4.6 4.3
Rush Yds 12.8 1.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 1.6 1.8
Rec Yds 12.6 25.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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