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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Pierre Strong or TreVeyon Henderson?

The verdict

Start TreVeyon Henderson

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Henderson already played: 2.3 Standard pts (projected 3.4).

Week 6: Strong outscored Henderson 6.7 to 2.0. Our call, start Henderson (54%), was wrong.

Strong 44% 56% Henderson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

RB Packers RB #42

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Standard) 2.8
Status Active
RB Patriots RB #38 Start

TreVeyon Henderson

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 3.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Strong: 4.3 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 21st most to RBs.
  • Henderson: 3.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 25% of snaps, 8.0 touches, CHI allows the 25th most to RBs.
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 6.7 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 1.8 41% 8
Henderson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 2.3 24% 5
Wk 6 vs NYJ 2.0 24% 8
Wk 5 vs LV 3.8 16% 5
Wk 4 @ BUF 4.2 37% 14

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Strong Henderson
Median Standard pts 2.8 3.4
Rush Yds 12.8 28.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.2
Rec 1.6 0.9
Rec Yds 12.6 6.5
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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