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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Savion Williams or Tim Patrick?

Close call

Start Tim Patrick

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Williams already played: 8.1 PPR pts (projected 1.8).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Williams outscored Patrick 8.1 to 2.5. Our call, start Patrick (54%), was wrong.

Williams 50% 50% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

WR Packers WR #91

Savion Williams

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (PPR) 1.8
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 13m ago
WR Jets WR #92 Start

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 8.1 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 53% of snaps, 5.5 touches, DET allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Patrick: 3.5 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 31st most to WRs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ DET 8.1 – 5
Wk 6 vs DAL 8.1 53% 6
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 4.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Patrick
Median PPR pts 1.8 1.7
Rec 1.2 1.0
Rec Yds 11.4 11.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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