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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Seth McGowan or Tim Patrick?

Close call

Start Seth McGowan

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Patrick.

McGowan already played: 5.8 PPR pts (projected 1.7).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: McGowan outscored Patrick 2.7 to 2.5. Our call, start McGowan (52%), was right.

McGowan 52% 48% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Colts RB #56 Start

Seth McGowan

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active
WR Jets WR #92

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • McGowan: 4.0 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 26% of snaps, 7.3 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to RBs.
  • Patrick: 3.5 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 31st most to WRs.
McGowan Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 5.8 – 12
Wk 6 vs TEN 2.7 23% 4
Wk 5 @ PIT 2.9 27% 6
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.8 29% 7
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 4.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat McGowan Patrick
Median PPR pts 1.7 1.7
Rush Yds 11.6 0.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.6 1.0
Rec Yds 4.1 11.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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