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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Pharaoh Brown or Seth McGowan?

Close call

Start Seth McGowan

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Brown's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

McGowan already played: 5.8 PPR pts (projected 1.7).

Week 6: McGowan outscored Brown 2.7 to 1.7. Our call, start McGowan (60%), was right.

Brown 47% 53% McGowan

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

TE Colts TE #46

Pharaoh Brown

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active
RB Colts RB #56 Start

Seth McGowan

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 1.7 PPR pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
  • McGowan: 4.0 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 26% of snaps, 7.3 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to RBs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs TEN 1.7 5% 1
McGowan Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 5.8 – 12
Wk 6 vs TEN 2.7 23% 4
Wk 5 @ PIT 2.9 27% 6
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.8 29% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown McGowan
Median PPR pts 1.7 1.7
Rec 1.3 0.6
Rec Yds 9.8 4.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 0.3 11.6
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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