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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Theo Johnson or Isaiah Likely?

The verdict

Start Isaiah Likely

Wins 89% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Johnson's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Likely already played: 1.2 Standard pts (projected 6.8).

Johnson 11% 89% Likely

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Giants TE #70

Theo Johnson

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status D Neck Official designation · Fri · 1% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 11m ago
TE Giants TE #6 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 6.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Johnson: 2.6 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 32% of snaps, 0.8 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
  • Likely: 11.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 5 @ WAS 3.5 48% 2
Wk 4 vs ARI 7.1 33% 1
Wk 3 vs TEN 0.0 17% –
Wk 2 @ LAR 0.0 28% –
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 1.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 17.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 21.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 6.6 66% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Johnson Likely
Median Standard pts 0.0 6.8
Rec 0.0 6.1
Rec Yds 0.1 56.1
Rec TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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